Several Post-Election Questions, The Answer to Which is "No"
[Image via clipartkid]
Regular readers of this blog, and people who know me generally, have probably gathered that I am an overall positive person who tends to look for a way to say “yes” to almost anything. But the last week or so has been so frustrating that I’d like to present a series of questions below – the answer to every one of which is a firm NO.
- Was the election 2016 perfect?
- Did we expect it to be?
- Was turnout down in 2016, as first reported?
- That said, does turnout have anything to do with how well the election was administered?
- Is it typical for one presidential candidate to win the popular vote and lose the Electoral College?
- Does the fact that one candidate did in 2016 suggest something went wrong with how the election was run?
- Are polls and polling (pre- and post-election) accurate enough to make elections a mere formality?
- Should the disparity between polls and election returns suggest we should question the results?
- Do recounts usually change the outcome?
- Does that mean losing candidates shouldn’t seek recounts if they are entitled to do so?
- Once a recount begins, should a candidate potentially affected by the outcome stay out of the process?
- Is election fraud – to the extent it even exists – easy to prove?
- Does that stop apparent losing candidates from trying allege fraud?
- Is a simple state-to-state match of voting records sufficient to identify voting problems?
- Are those state-to-state matches usually accurate?
- Does that stop apparent losing candidates from using state-to-state matches to identify voting problems?
- Are recounts and post-election audits the same?
- Are post-election audits typically designed to validate the results of individual races?
- Should audits be seen as a partisan tool for challenging election outcomes?
- Should supporters give up on their long-term goal of getting more states and localities to do routine post-election audits?
- Do I think people who provided funds for post-election proceedings in 2016 will get what they’re hoping for?
- Was the 2016 election “rigged”?
- If it had been, is there any meaningful chance it would have gone undetected?
- Was the 2016 election “hacked”?
- If it had been, is there any meaningful chance it would have gone undetected?
- Were there millions of “illegal” votes cast in 2016?
- If there were, is there any meaningful chance they would have gone undetected?
- Should journalists (with very few exceptions) continue to cover election administration uncritically, taking accusations of fraud or dysfunction at face value?
- Should journalists (with very few exceptions) continue to cover election administration without learning about the process?
- Should journalists (with very few exceptions) continue to cover election administration without talking to election officials?
- Did election officials nationwide get enough (if any) credit for how well the 2016 election went, despite predictions to the contrary?
- Does it seem fair that many of those same officials will be working even more overtime as the end of the year approaches?
- Is any of this – in particular, the disparity between evidence and perception about election administration – unique to 2016?
- Am I happy about it?
- Do I think any of this will discourage election officials from continuing their top-notch work as democracy’s first responders?
- Will it keep me and other electiongeeks from continuing our work to help election officials?
- Did you really think I’d get to the end of a blog post and not say “stay tuned”?